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UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
HUN Magyar NB III · Mérkőzés ·

ESMTK vs Hódmezővásárhely

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem82%
Döntetlen12%
Vendég győzelem6%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHódmezővásárhely
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett53% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
82% / 12% / 6%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hódmezővásárhely win (5.8%)Dupla esély1X94.2%1.06
Felett 53% · Alatt 47%Goals 2.5Felett53%1.89
Igen 26% · Nem 74%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–0
9.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Döntetlen12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hódmezővásárhely win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Hazai share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 53% · Alatt 47%

Hódmezővásárhely0.33

Vendég share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitIgen 26% · Nem 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Hódmezővásárhely

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Nyert probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHódmezővásárhely
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hódmezővásárhely signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hódmezővásárhely FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK nyer 82%,Döntetlen 12%,Hódmezővásárhely nyer 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · 2.5 felett 53% · Current selection Felett