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HUN Maďarsko - NB III · Zápas ·

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích82%
Remíza12%
Výhra hostů6%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
82% / 12% / 6%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hodmezovasahelyi win (5.8%)Dvojitá šance1X94.2%1.06
Více 53% · Méně 47%Goals 2.5Více53%1.89
Ano 26% · Ne 74%Oba týmy skórujíNe74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–0
9.8 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Remíza12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hodmezovasahelyi win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Domácí share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 53% · Méně 47%

Hodmezovasahelyi0.33

Hosté share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitAno 26% · Ne 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Hodmezovasahelyi

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Výhra probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodmezovasahelyi signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK výhra 82%,Remíza 12%,Hodmezovasahelyi výhra 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Více 2.5 53% · Current selection Více