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HUN Węgry - NB III · Mecz ·

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–03.75 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy80%
Remis13%
Wygrana gości7%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy80% selection probability
Projected score3–0MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Expected goals3.75Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
80% / 13% / 7%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Szekszardi win (7.4%)Podwójna szansa1X92.6%1.08
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 31% · Nie 69%Obie drużyny strzeląNie69%1.45
3.75 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–0
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMTK Budapest II winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MTK Budapest II win80%1.251.1778.5%+1.5 pp
Remis13%7.697.0013.1%-0.1 pp
Szekszardi win7%14.2911.008.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest II3.36

Gospodarze share of expected goals 89.6%

Total expected goals3.75Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Szekszardi0.39

Goście share of expected goals 10.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitTak 31% · Nie 69%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest II

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Szekszardi

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
1
3.36
Expected goals
0.39
MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest II signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Szekszardi signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–0 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest II wygrana 80%,Remis 13%,Szekszardi wygrana 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej