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HUN Hungary NB III · Spiel ·

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–03.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg80%
Unentschieden13%
Auswärtssieg7%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg80% selection probability
Projected score3–0MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Expected goals3.75Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
80% / 13% / 7%SpielergebnisHeimsieg80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Szekszardi win (7.4%)Doppelte Chance1X92.6%1.08
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
3.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–0
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMTK Budapest II winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MTK Budapest II win80%1.251.1778.5%+1.5 pp
Unentschieden13%7.697.0013.1%-0.1 pp
Szekszardi win7%14.2911.008.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest II3.36

Heim share of expected goals 89.6%

Total expected goals3.75Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Szekszardi0.39

Auswärts share of expected goals 10.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest II

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Szekszardi

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
1
3.36
Expected goals
0.39
MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest II signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Szekszardi signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–0 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest II Gewinn 80%,Unentschieden 13%,Szekszardi Gewinn 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über