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HUN Венгрия - НБ III · Матч ·

МТК Будапешт-2 vs Сексард

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–03.75 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев80%
Ничья13%
Победа гостей7%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев80% selection probability
Projected score3–0МТК Будапешт-2Сексард
Expected goals3.75Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
80% / 13% / 7%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сексард win (7.4%)Двойной шанс1X92.6%1.08
Больше 72% · Меньше 28%Goals 2.5Больше72%1.39
Да 31% · Нет 69%Обе забьютНет69%1.45
3.75 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–0
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapМТК Будапешт-2 winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
МТК Будапешт-2 win80%1.251.1778.5%+1.5 pp
Ничья13%7.697.0013.1%-0.1 pp
Сексард win7%14.2911.008.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

МТК Будапешт-23.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 89.6%

Total expected goals3.75Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 72% · Меньше 28%

Сексард0.39

Гости share of expected goals 10.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitДа 31% · Нет 69%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

МТК Будапешт-2

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сексард

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
1
3.36
Expected goals
0.39
МТК Будапешт-2Сексард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01МТК Будапешт-2 signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сексард signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

МТК Будапешт-2 vs Сексард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–0 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

МТК Будапешт-2 выигрыш 80%,Ничья 13%,Сексард выигрыш 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · ТБ 2.5 72% · Current selection Больше