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HUN Ungaria - NB III · Meci ·

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–03.75 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde80%
Egal13%
Victorie oaspeți7%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde80% selection probability
Projected score3–0MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Expected goals3.75Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste72% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
80% / 13% / 7%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Szekszardi win (7.4%)Șansă dublă1X92.6%1.08
Peste 72% · Sub 28%Goals 2.5Peste72%1.39
Da 31% · Nu 69%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69%1.45
3.75 total expected goalsScor corect3–0
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMTK Budapest II winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MTK Budapest II win80%1.251.1778.5%+1.5 pp
Egal13%7.697.0013.1%-0.1 pp
Szekszardi win7%14.2911.008.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest II3.36

Gazde share of expected goals 89.6%

Total expected goals3.75Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 72% · Sub 28%

Szekszardi0.39

Oaspeți share of expected goals 10.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitDa 31% · Nu 69%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest II

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Szekszardi

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Câștig probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
1
3.36
Expected goals
0.39
MTK Budapest IISzekszardi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest II signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Szekszardi signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–0 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest II câștig 80%,Egal 13%,Szekszardi câștig 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Peste 2.5 72% · Current selection Peste