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HUN Hungary NB III · Spiel ·

Kisvarda II vs Diosgyori VTK II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg70%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg70% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kisvarda IIDiosgyori VTK II
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
70% / 18% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Diosgyori VTK II win (12.2%)Doppelte Chance1X87.8%1.14
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
2.81 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapKisvarda II winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kisvarda II win70%1.431.3069.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
Diosgyori VTK II win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kisvarda II2.28

Heim share of expected goals 81.1%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Diosgyori VTK II0.53

Auswärts share of expected goals 18.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Kisvarda II

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Diosgyori VTK II

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
0
2.28
Expected goals
0.53
Kisvarda IIDiosgyori VTK II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kisvarda II signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Diosgyori VTK II signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Kisvarda II vs Diosgyori VTK II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kisvarda II Gewinn 70%,Unentschieden 18%,Diosgyori VTK II Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über