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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Mecz ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy48%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy48% selection probability
Projected score3–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
48% / 23% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Podwójna szansa1277.3%1.29
Powyżej 74% · Poniżej 26%Goals 2.5Powyżej74%1.35
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Remis23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.53

Gospodarze share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.87Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 74% · Poniżej 26%

Sturt Lions1.34

Goście share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.53
Expected goals
1.34
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC wygrana 48%,Remis 23%,Sturt Lions wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Powyżej 2.5 74% · Current selection Powyżej