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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Partida ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.87 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa48%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante29%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima74% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
48% / 23% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dupla Chance1277.3%1.29
Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%Goals 2.5Acima74%1.35
Sim 69% · Não 31%Ambas as equipes marcamSim69%1.45
3.87 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.49

Mandante share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.87Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%

Sturt Lions1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 69% · Não 31%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.49
Expected goals
1.38
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC ganhou 48%,Empate 23%,Sturt Lions ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Acima 2.5 74% · Current selection Acima