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AUS Australia - Australia Meridional - Premier League · Partido ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.87 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 23% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Doble Oportunidad1277.3%1.29
Más de 74% · Menos de 26%Goals 2.5Más de74%1.35
Sí 69% · No 31%Ambos equipos marcan69%1.45
3.87 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.49

Local share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.87Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 74% · Menos de 26%

Sturt Lions1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 69% · No 31%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.49
Expected goals
1.38
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC ganada 48%,Empate 23%,Sturt Lions ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Más de 2.5 74% · Current selection Más de