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AUS Australien - South Australia - Premier League · Kamp ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.87 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr48%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr29%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
48% / 23% / 29%KampresultatHjemmesejr48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dobbeltchance1277.3%1.29
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Ja 69% · Nej 31%Begge hold scorerJa69%1.45
3.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Uafgjort23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.49

Hjemme share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.87Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Sturt Lions1.38

Ude share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nej 31%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vundet probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.49
Expected goals
1.38
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC vundet 48%,Uafgjort 23%,Sturt Lions vundet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over