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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Zápas ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–13.92 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich48%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich48% selection probability
Projected score3–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.92Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac75% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
48% / 23% / 29%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dvojitá šanca1277.3%1.29
Viac 75% · Menej 25%Goals 2.5Viac75%1.33
Áno 69% · Nie 31%Oba tímy skórujúÁno69%1.45
3.92 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Remíza23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.54

Domáci share of expected goals 64.8%

Total expected goals3.92Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 75% · Menej 25%

Sturt Lions1.38

Hostia share of expected goals 35.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 69% · Nie 31%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.54
Expected goals
1.38
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC výhra 48%,Remíza 23%,Sturt Lions výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.92 · Viac 2.5 75% · Current selection Viac