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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Zápas ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.84 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích48%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.84Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více74% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
48% / 23% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dvojitá šance1277.3%1.29
Více 74% · Méně 26%Goals 2.5Více74%1.35
Ano 69% · Ne 31%Oba týmy skórujíAno69%1.45
3.84 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Remíza23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.47

Domácí share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.84Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 74% · Méně 26%

Sturt Lions1.37

Hosté share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 69% · Ne 31%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.47
Expected goals
1.37
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC výhra 48%,Remíza 23%,Sturt Lions výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Více 2.5 74% · Current selection Více