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POL Polska - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Łódź

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.34 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Łódź
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 29% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Widzew Łódź win (21.5%)Podwójna szansa1X78.5%1.27
Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%Goals 2.5Poniżej59%1.69
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
2.34 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Jagiellonia Białystok win50%2.00
Remis29%3.45
Widzew Łódź win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Białystok1.60

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%

Widzew Łódź0.74

Goście share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Białystok

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Widzew Łódź

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.60
Expected goals
0.74
Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Łódź
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Białystok signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Widzew Łódź signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Łódź FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Białystok wygrana 50%,Remis 29%,Widzew Łódź wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Powyżej 2.5 41% · Current selection Poniżej