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POL Poola Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lódz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.34 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit50%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit21%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Lódz
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla59% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
50% / 29% / 21%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Widzew Lódz win (21.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X78.5%1.27
Üle 41% · Alla 59%Goals 2.5Alla59%1.69
Jah 42% · Ei 58%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi58%1.72
2.34 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Jagiellonia Białystok win50%2.00
Viik29%3.45
Widzew Lódz win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Białystok1.60

Kodu share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 41% · Alla 59%

Widzew Lódz0.74

Võõras share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 42% · Ei 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Białystok

3.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punktid15

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Widzew Lódz

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Võit probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.60
Expected goals
0.74
Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Lódz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Białystok signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Widzew Lódz signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lódz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Białystok võit 50%,Viik 29%,Widzew Lódz võit 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Üle 2.5 41% · Current selection Alla