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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Mecz ·

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis34%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej81% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 34% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (23.8%)Podwójna szansa1X76.2%1.31
Powyżej 19% · Poniżej 81%Goals 2.5Poniżej81%1.23
Tak 25% · Nie 75%Obie drużyny strzeląNie75%1.33
1.49 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Rafaela win42%2.382.2542%0.0 pp
Remis34%2.942.8033.8%+0.2 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.9024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela0.97

Gospodarze share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 19% · Poniżej 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Goście share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 25% · Nie 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela wygrana 42%,Remis 34%,Chacarita Juniors wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Powyżej 2.5 19% · Current selection Poniżej