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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Αγώνας ·

Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία34%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ατλέτικο ΡαφαέλαChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω81% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 34% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (24.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X75.6%1.32
Άνω 19% · Κάτω 81%Goals 2.5Κάτω81%1.23
Ναι 25% · Όχι 75%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι75%1.33
1.49 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapChacarita Juniors winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα win42%2.382.3041.2%+0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία34%2.942.8033.8%+0.2 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα0.97

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 19% · Κάτω 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 25% · Όχι 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Ατλέτικο ΡαφαέλαChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ατλέτικο Ραφαέλα νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 34%,Chacarita Juniors νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Άνω 2.5 19% · Current selection Κάτω