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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partita ·

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio34%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto81% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 34% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (24.4%)Doppia Chance1X75.6%1.32
Sopra 19% · Sotto 81%Goals 2.5Sotto81%1.23
Sì 25% · No 75%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75%1.33
1.49 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapChacarita Juniors winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Rafaela win42%2.382.3041.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio34%2.942.8033.8%+0.2 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela0.97

Casa share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 19% · Sotto 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela vinta 42%,Pareggio 34%,Chacarita Juniors vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Sopra 2.5 19% · Current selection Sotto