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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden34%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter81% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 34% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (23.8%)Doppelte Chance1X76.2%1.31
Über 19% · Unter 81%Goals 2.5Unter81%1.23
Ja 25% · Nein 75%Beide Teams treffenNein75%1.33
1.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Rafaela win42%2.382.2542%0.0 pp
Unentschieden34%2.942.8033.8%+0.2 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.9024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela0.97

Heim share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 19% · Unter 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 25% · Nein 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 34%,Chacarita Juniors Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Über 2.5 19% · Current selection Unter