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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul34%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de81% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 34% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Plus de 19% · Moins de 81%Goals 2.5Moins de81%1.23
Oui 25% · Non 75%Les deux équipes marquentNon75%1.33
1.49 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapChacarita Juniors winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Rafaela win42%2.382.3041.2%+0.8 pp
Nul34%2.942.8033.8%+0.2 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela0.97

Domicile share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 19% · Moins de 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 25% · Non 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Atletico RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela victoire 42%,Nul 34%,Chacarita Juniors victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Plus de 2.5 19% · Current selection Moins de