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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score2–1AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 28% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Guemes win (18.4%)Doppelte Chance1X81.6%1.23
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapAgropecuario winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Agropecuario win54%1.851.8052.5%+1.5 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.3028.6%-0.6 pp
CA Guemes win18%5.565.0018.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Agropecuario2.01

Heim share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

CA Guemes0.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Agropecuario

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Guemes

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.01
Expected goals
0.76
AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Agropecuario signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Guemes signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Agropecuario Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 28%,CA Guemes Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über