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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Fixture ·

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw28%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 28% / 18%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Guemes win (18.4%)Double chance1X81.6%1.23
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.77 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapAgropecuario winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Agropecuario win54%1.851.8052.5%+1.5 pp
Draw28%3.573.3028.6%-0.6 pp
CA Guemes win18%5.565.0018.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Agropecuario2.01

Home share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

CA Guemes0.76

Away share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Agropecuario

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Guemes

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.01
Expected goals
0.76
AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Agropecuario signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Guemes signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Agropecuario win 54%,Draw 28%,CA Guemes win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over