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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partida ·

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa54%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante18%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa54% selection probability
Projected score2–1AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
54% / 28% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Guemes win (18.4%)Dupla Chance1X81.6%1.23
Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%Goals 2.5Acima52%1.92
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.77 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapAgropecuario winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Agropecuario win54%1.851.8052.5%+1.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.3028.6%-0.6 pp
CA Guemes win18%5.565.0018.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Agropecuario2.01

Mandante share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%

CA Guemes0.76

Visitante share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Agropecuario

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Guemes

0.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontos0

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.01
Expected goals
0.76
AgropecuarioCA Guemes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Agropecuario signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Guemes signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Agropecuario vs CA Guemes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Agropecuario ganhou 54%,Empate 28%,CA Guemes ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Acima 2.5 52% · Current selection Acima