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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Mecz ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej68% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 30% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (20.9%)Podwójna szansa1X79.1%1.26
Powyżej 32% · Poniżej 68%Goals 2.5Poniżej68%1.47
Tak 38% · Nie 62%Obie drużyny strzeląNie62%1.61
1.99 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrocarril Midland win49%2.041.9149%0.0 pp
Remis30%3.333.1030.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Maipu win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.24

Gospodarze share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 32% · Poniżej 68%

Deportivo Maipu0.75

Goście share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 38% · Nie 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
0.75
Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland wygrana 49%,Remis 30%,Deportivo Maipu wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Powyżej 2.5 32% · Current selection Poniżej