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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Wedstrijd ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 30% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (20.9%)Dubbele Kans1X79.1%1.26
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.99 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrocarril Midland win49%2.041.9149%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.1030.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Maipu win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.24

Thuis share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Deportivo Maipu0.75

Uit share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
0.75
Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 30%,Deportivo Maipu gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder