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MWI Malawi - Super League · Mecz ·

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.25 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy17%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości56%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
17% / 27% / 56%Wynik meczuWygrana gości56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)Podwójna szansaX283.1%1.20
Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%Goals 2.5Poniżej61%1.64
Tak 39% · Nie 61%Obie drużyny strzeląNie61%1.64
2.25 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMighty Wanderers winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Remis27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Mighty Wanderers win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Gospodarze share of expected goals 30.2%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%

Mighty Wanderers1.57

Goście share of expected goals 69.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 39% · Nie 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Mighty Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.57
Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mighty Wanderers signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks wygrana 17%,Remis 27%,Mighty Wanderers wygrana 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Powyżej 2.5 39% · Current selection Poniżej