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MWI Malawi Super League · Αγώνας ·

Moyale Barracks vs Μάιτι Γουόντερερς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.26 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου17%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksΜάιτι Γουόντερερς
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
17% / 27% / 56%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX283.1%1.20
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 39% · Όχι 61%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61%1.64
2.26 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
8.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapΜάιτι Γουόντερερς winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Μάιτι Γουόντερερς win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Μάιτι Γουόντερερς1.58

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 39% · Όχι 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μάιτι Γουόντερερς

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.58
Moyale BarracksΜάιτι Γουόντερερς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μάιτι Γουόντερερς signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Μάιτι Γουόντερερς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks νίκη 17%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Μάιτι Γουόντερερς νίκη 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω