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MWI Malawi - Superliga · Zápas ·

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–22.26 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích17%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů56%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně61% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
17% / 27% / 56%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)Dvojitá šanceX283.1%1.20
Více 39% · Méně 61%Goals 2.5Méně61%1.64
Ano 39% · Ne 61%Oba týmy skórujíNe61%1.64
2.26 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–2
8.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMighty Wanderers winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Remíza27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Mighty Wanderers win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Domácí share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 39% · Méně 61%

Mighty Wanderers1.58

Hosté share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitAno 39% · Ne 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Mighty Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Výhra probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.58
Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mighty Wanderers signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks výhra 17%,Remíza 27%,Mighty Wanderers výhra 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Více 2.5 39% · Current selection Méně