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MWI Malawi Super League · Match ·

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.26 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger17%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger56%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
17% / 27% / 56%MatchresultatBortaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)DubbelchansX283.1%1.20
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
2.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMighty Wanderers winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Mighty Wanderers win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Hemma share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Mighty Wanderers1.58

Borta share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Mighty Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.58
Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mighty Wanderers signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks vunnen 17%,Oavgjort 27%,Mighty Wanderers vunnen 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under