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MWI Malawi Super League · Kamp ·

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.26 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr17%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr56%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
17% / 27% / 56%KampresultatUdesejr56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)DobbeltchanceX283.1%1.20
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Begge hold scorerNej61%1.64
2.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMighty Wanderers winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Uafgjort27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Mighty Wanderers win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Hjemme share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Mighty Wanderers1.58

Ude share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Mighty Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vundet probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.58
Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mighty Wanderers signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks vundet 17%,Uafgjort 27%,Mighty Wanderers vundet 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under