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MWI Malawi Super League · Partido ·

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.25 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local17%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante56%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers FC
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
17% / 27% / 56%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moyale Barracks win (16.9%)Doble OportunidadX283.1%1.20
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 39% · No 61%Ambos equipos marcanNo61%1.64
2.25 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMighty Wanderers FC winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moyale Barracks win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Empate27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Mighty Wanderers FC win56%1.791.6255.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moyale Barracks0.68

Local share of expected goals 30.2%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%

Mighty Wanderers FC1.57

Visitante share of expected goals 69.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Moyale Barracks

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mighty Wanderers FC

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Ganado probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.68
Expected goals
1.57
Moyale BarracksMighty Wanderers FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moyale Barracks signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mighty Wanderers FC signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Moyale Barracks vs Mighty Wanderers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moyale Barracks ganada 17%,Empate 27%,Mighty Wanderers FC ganada 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de