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MWI Malawi - Super League · Mecz ·

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy46%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości23%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
46% / 30% / 23%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kamuzu Barracks win (23.3%)Podwójna szansa1X76.7%1.30
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapRed Lions winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Red Lions win46%2.172.0045%+1.0 pp
Remis30%3.332.9031%-1.0 pp
Kamuzu Barracks win23%4.353.7524%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Lions1.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Kamuzu Barracks0.81

Goście share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Red Lions

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Kamuzu Barracks

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
0.81
Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Lions signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kamuzu Barracks signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Lions wygrana 46%,Remis 30%,Kamuzu Barracks wygrana 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej