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MWI Malawi - Super League · Wedstrijd ·

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 30% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kamuzu Barracks win (23.3%)Dubbele Kans1X76.7%1.30
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapRed Lions winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Red Lions win46%2.172.0045%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.332.9031%-1.0 pp
Kamuzu Barracks win23%4.353.7524%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Lions1.81

Thuis share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Kamuzu Barracks0.81

Uit share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Red Lions

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Kamuzu Barracks

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
0.81
Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Lions signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kamuzu Barracks signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Lions gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 30%,Kamuzu Barracks gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder