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MWI Malawi Super League · Мач ·

Red Lions vs Камузу Баракс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен30%
Победа за госта23%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red LionsКамузу Баракс
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 30% / 23%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Камузу Баракс win (23.3%)Двоен шанс1X76.7%1.30
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapRed Lions winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Red Lions win46%2.172.0045%+1.0 pp
Равен30%3.332.9031%-1.0 pp
Камузу Баракс win23%4.353.7524%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Lions1.81

Домакин share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Камузу Баракс0.81

Гост share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Red Lions

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Камузу Баракс

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
0.81
Red LionsКамузу Баракс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Lions signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Камузу Баракс signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Red Lions vs Камузу Баракс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Lions печеливш 46%,Равен 30%,Камузу Баракс печеливш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под