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MWI Малави - Суперлига · Матч ·

Ред Лайонс vs Камузу Барракс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ред ЛайонсКамузу Барракс
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 30% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Камузу Барракс win (23.3%)Двойной шанс1X76.7%1.30
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapРед Лайонс winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ред Лайонс win46%2.172.0045%+1.0 pp
Ничья30%3.332.9031%-1.0 pp
Камузу Барракс win23%4.353.7524%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ред Лайонс1.81

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Камузу Барракс0.81

Гости share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ред Лайонс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Камузу Барракс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
0.81
Ред ЛайонсКамузу Барракс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ред Лайонс signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Камузу Барракс signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ред Лайонс vs Камузу Барракс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ред Лайонс выигрыш 46%,Ничья 30%,Камузу Барракс выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше