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MWI Malawi Super League · Maç ·

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır46%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır23%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
46% / 30% / 23%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kamuzu Barracks win (23.3%)Çifte Şans1X76.7%1.30
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapRed Lions winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Red Lions win46%2.172.0045%+1.0 pp
Beraberlik30%3.332.9031%-1.0 pp
Kamuzu Barracks win23%4.353.7524%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Lions1.81

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

Kamuzu Barracks0.81

Deplasman share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Red Lions

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Kamuzu Barracks

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
0.81
Red LionsKamuzu Barracks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Lions signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kamuzu Barracks signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Lions kazanç 46%,Beraberlik 30%,Kamuzu Barracks kazanç 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt