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MWI Malawi Super League · Мач ·

Митунди Баптист vs Каронга Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен31%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Митунди БаптистКаронга Юнайтед
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 31% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Каронга Юнайтед win (25.1%)Двоен шанс1X74.9%1.34
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.52 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapМитунди Баптист winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Митунди Баптист win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
Равен31%3.232.8031.9%-0.9 pp
Каронга Юнайтед win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Митунди Баптист1.64

Домакин share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Каронга Юнайтед0.88

Гост share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Митунди Баптист

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Каронга Юнайтед

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.64
Expected goals
0.88
Митунди БаптистКаронга Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Митунди Баптист signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Каронга Юнайтед signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Митунди Баптист vs Каронга Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Митунди Баптист печеливш 44%,Равен 31%,Каронга Юнайтед печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под