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MWI Malawi - Superliga · Partida ·

Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante25%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 31% / 25%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karonga United win (25.1%)Dupla Chance1X74.9%1.34
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.52 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapMitundu Baptist FC winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mitundu Baptist FC win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
Empate31%3.232.8031.9%-0.9 pp
Karonga United win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mitundu Baptist FC1.64

Mandante share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Karonga United0.88

Visitante share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Mitundu Baptist FC

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Karonga United

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.64
Expected goals
0.88
Mitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mitundu Baptist FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karonga United signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mitundu Baptist FC ganhou 44%,Empate 31%,Karonga United ganhou 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo