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LTU Litwa - A Lyga · Round 20 ·

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.69 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej76% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 30% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Podwójna szansa1269.8%1.43
Powyżej 24% · Poniżej 76%Goals 2.5Poniżej76%1.32
Tak 32% · Nie 68%Obie drużyny strzeląNie68%1.47
1.69 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapBanga Gargzdai winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Remis30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Suduva Marijampole win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai0.95

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 24% · Poniżej 76%

Suduva Marijampole0.74

Goście share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 32% · Nie 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.95
Expected goals
0.74
Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai wygrana 37%,Remis 30%,Suduva Marijampole wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Powyżej 2.5 24% · Current selection Poniżej