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LTU Litauen - A Lyga · Round 20 ·

Banga Gargzdai vs FK Suduva

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.69 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr33%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga GargzdaiFK Suduva
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 30% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Dobbeltchance1269.8%1.43
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 32% · Nej 68%Begge hold scorerNej68%1.47
1.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapBanga Gargzdai winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
FK Suduva win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai0.95

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

FK Suduva0.74

Ude share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nej 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FK Suduva

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.95
Expected goals
0.74
Banga GargzdaiFK Suduva
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Suduva signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai vs FK Suduva FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai vundet 37%,Uafgjort 30%,FK Suduva vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under