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LTU Lituania - A Lyga · Round 20 ·

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 30% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Doble Oportunidad1269.8%1.43
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 32% · No 68%Ambos equipos marcanNo68%1.47
1.69 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapBanga Gargzdai winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Suduva Marijampole win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai0.95

Local share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Suduva Marijampole0.74

Visitante share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.95
Expected goals
0.74
Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai ganada 37%,Empate 30%,Suduva Marijampole ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de