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LTU Leedu A Lyga · Round 20 ·

Gargždai Banga vs Suduva Marijampole

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.69 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit37%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit33%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gargždai BangaSuduva Marijampole
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla76% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
37% / 30% / 33%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Topeltvõimalus1269.8%1.43
Üle 24% · Alla 76%Goals 2.5Alla76%1.32
Jah 32% · Ei 68%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi68%1.47
1.69 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapGargždai Banga winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gargždai Banga win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Viik30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Suduva Marijampole win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gargždai Banga0.95

Kodu share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 24% · Alla 76%

Suduva Marijampole0.74

Võõras share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 32% · Ei 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Gargždai Banga

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Võit probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.95
Expected goals
0.74
Gargždai BangaSuduva Marijampole
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gargždai Banga signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Gargždai Banga vs Suduva Marijampole FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gargždai Banga võit 37%,Viik 30%,Suduva Marijampole võit 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Üle 2.5 24% · Current selection Alla