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ESP Spanje - Copa Federacion · Final ·

CD Colonia Moscardo vs Mexico FC

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst25%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Colonia MoscardoMexico FC
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 26% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mexico FC win (25%)Dubbele Kans1X75%1.33
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Colonia Moscardo win49%2.041.8049.6%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.5%
Mexico FC win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Colonia Moscardo1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Mexico FC1.04

Uit share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CD Colonia Moscardo

0.25pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Punten1

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/4

Uit-context · form sequence

Mexico FC

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Punten2

SignalUit failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
1.04
CD Colonia MoscardoMexico FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Colonia Moscardo signalThuis failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mexico FC signalUit failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Colonia Moscardo vs Mexico FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Colonia Moscardo gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 26%,Mexico FC gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder