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ESP Spanje - Copa Federacion · Final ·

Siero vs EI San Martín

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SieroEI San Martín
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 28% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dubbele Kans1272.2%1.39
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siero win40%2.502.3038.9%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028%
EI San Martín win32%3.132.7033.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siero1.39

Thuis share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

EI San Martín1.17

Uit share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Siero

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

EI San Martín

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.39
Expected goals
1.17
SieroEI San Martín
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siero signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02EI San Martín signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Siero vs EI San Martín FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siero gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 28%,EI San Martín gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder