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ESP Spain Copa Federacion · Final ·

Siero vs EI San Martin

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win40%
Draw28%
Away win32%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SieroEI San Martin
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 28% / 32%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siero win40%2.502.3038.9%
Draw28%3.573.2028%
EI San Martin win32%3.132.7033.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siero1.39

Home share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

EI San Martin1.17

Away share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Siero

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

EI San Martin

1.50pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.39
Expected goals
1.17
SieroEI San Martin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siero signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02EI San Martin signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Siero vs EI San Martin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siero win 40%,Draw 28%,EI San Martin win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under