Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 24% / 23%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Torrejon win (22.8%)Double chance1X77.2%1.30
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.61 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navalcarnero win53%1.891.6753.7%—
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%—
Torrejon win23%4.354.0022.4%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.7%
Total expected goals2.61Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 38.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNavalcarnero
WWDWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchTorrejon
WDWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
23%13
Points from supplied form
71.61
Expected goals
1.00NavalcarneroTorrejon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Navalcarnero vs Torrejon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Navalcarnero win 53%，Draw 24%，Torrejon win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.61 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。