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ESP Spanien - Copa Federacion · Final ·

Navalcarnero vs Torrejon

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–0Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger23%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NavalcarneroTorrejon
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 24% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Torrejon win (22.8%)Dubbelchans1X77.2%1.30
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navalcarnero win53%1.891.6753.7%
Oavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%
Torrejon win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navalcarnero1.61

Hemma share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Torrejon1.00

Borta share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Torrejon

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
1.00
NavalcarneroTorrejon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navalcarnero signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torrejon signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Navalcarnero vs Torrejon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navalcarnero vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 24%,Torrejon vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under