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ESP Испания - Кубок Федерации · Final ·

Навалькарнеро vs Торрехон

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей23%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1НавалькарнероТоррехон
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 24% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Торрехон win (22.8%)Двойной шанс1X77.2%1.30
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.61 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Навалькарнеро win53%1.891.6753.7%
Ничья24%4.173.7523.9%
Торрехон win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Навалькарнеро1.61

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Торрехон1.00

Гости share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Навалькарнеро

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Торрехон

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
1.00
НавалькарнероТоррехон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Навалькарнеро signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Торрехон signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Навалькарнеро vs Торрехон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Навалькарнеро выигрыш 53%,Ничья 24%,Торрехон выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше