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ESP Spanje - Copa Federacion · Final ·

Navalcarnero vs Torrejon

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst23%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NavalcarneroTorrejon
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 24% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Torrejon win (22.8%)Dubbele Kans1X77.2%1.30
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.61 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navalcarnero win53%1.891.6753.7%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.9%
Torrejon win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navalcarnero1.61

Thuis share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Torrejon1.00

Uit share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Torrejon

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
1.00
NavalcarneroTorrejon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navalcarnero signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torrejon signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Navalcarnero vs Torrejon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navalcarnero gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 24%,Torrejon gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder