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ESP Испания - Кубок Федерации · Final ·

КД Колонья Москардо vs Мексика ФК

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score3–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей25%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score2–1КД Колонья МоскардоМексика ФК
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 26% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мексика ФК win (25%)Двойной шанс1X75%1.33
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КД Колонья Москардо win49%2.041.8049.6%
Ничья26%3.853.5025.5%
Мексика ФК win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Колонья Москардо1.55

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

Мексика ФК1.04

Гости share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

КД Колонья Москардо

0.25pts / match
Сыграно4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/4

Гости-context · form sequence

Мексика ФК

0.50pts / match
Сыграно4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Баллы2

SignalГости failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
1.04
КД Колонья МоскардоМексика ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Колонья Москардо signalХозяева failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мексика ФК signalГости failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

КД Колонья Москардо vs Мексика ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Колонья Москардо выигрыш 49%,Ничья 26%,Мексика ФК выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше